LC
Lovesac Co (LOVE)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered a clean beat versus consensus: revenue $241.5M vs $230.3M*, EPS (Primary) $2.24 vs $1.87*, and EBITDA $51.4M vs $48.2M*; diluted EPS was $2.13, up 13.9% YoY .
- Gross margin expanded 70 bps YoY to 60.4% on lower inbound and outbound logistics costs, despite higher promotional discounting .
- Management initiated FY2026 guidance (net sales $700–$750M; adjusted EBITDA $48–$60M; diluted EPS $0.80–$1.36) and Q1 FY2026 guidance (net sales $136–$142M; adj. EBITDA loss $8–$12M), highlighting tariff mitigation flexibility and strong product momentum .
- Strategic catalysts: Reclining Seat sold >18,500 units since launch with strong attach rates and 50-50 mix new/repeat customers; “Recline of Civilization” campaign has ~5B earned impressions .
- Balance sheet optionality preserved: $83.7M cash, $33M committed availability, no debt; inventory deliberately built (+26% YoY to $124.3M) to buffer tariff risks; FY25 buybacks totaled $19.9M .
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to 60.4% (+70 bps YoY) on reduced inbound (−90 bps) and outbound (−30 bps) transportation costs, offsetting promo headwinds .
- Operating leverage: operating income rose to $47.6M (19.7% margin) from $40.4M (16.0%) YoY; adjusted EBITDA increased to $53.9M from $48.4M .
- Product momentum: “Since launch, the Reclining Seat has sold over 18,500 units with attachment rates and customer feedback exceeding our expectations, as well as a nearly 50-50 split between new and repeat customers” .
What Went Wrong
- Net sales declined 3.6% YoY to $241.5M on −9.4% omni-channel comps; showroom −1.6%, internet −9.7% .
- Product margin compressed (−50 bps) due to higher promotional discounting, partially offsetting logistics savings .
- Category softness and conversion challenges: “We have double-digit pipeline growth year-over-year…lower conversion rates particularly at very large configurations” ; Q4 demand was volatile around holiday timing .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Profitability (oldest → newest)
Segment and Mix
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Notes: EPS in consensus reflects Primary EPS; company-reported diluted EPS was $2.13 .
Guidance Changes
Note: FY2026 guidance excludes incremental impacts from April 2, 2025 tariff updates beyond the old regime; Q1 FY2026 expected tariff impact immaterial .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “It was a solid end to fiscal 2025…sales slightly outpaced the high end of our guidance range.”
- “Since launch, the Reclining Seat has sold over 18,500 units…with a nearly 50-50 split between new and repeat customers.”
- “Prior to the recent news, our country of origin estimates for fiscal ’26 were Vietnam ~50%; Malaysia ~28%; China down to 13%; Indonesia ~6%…working to get China under 10%.”
- “We reported $83.7 million in cash…retaining $33 million in committed availability and no borrowings.”
- “We estimate net sales of $700 million to $750 million…adjusted EBITDA $48 million to $60 million…diluted EPS $0.80 to $1.36.”
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff mitigation: price increases likely “mid-single” digits; competitors already took 5–10% MSRP increases in Feb–Mar; leverage vendor concessions and promo intensity judiciously .
- Sourcing agility: “We do see a path to getting down below 10% [China] this year…happening so fast, in days really.” .
- Conversion dynamics: strong quote pipelines; quieter weeks between promotions; expect stronger event-driven closes; focus on personalized outreach .
- Showroom strategy: current footprint can showcase EverCouch; ~30 new showrooms planned; omnichannel approach remains tight and efficient .
- Financing program: lower utilization tied to industry program fees; testing alternative offers to improve conversion .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025 beat vs S&P consensus across revenue, EPS (Primary), and EBITDA (see table above). Given the company reports diluted EPS ($2.13), note that consensus and “Primary EPS” use a different EPS construct; both indicate a beat .
- Prior quarters showed mixed performance vs estimates: Q3 FY2025 missed revenue ($149.9M vs $155.3M*) but beat Primary EPS (−$0.01 vs −$0.35*); Q2 FY2025 slightly beat revenue ($156.6M vs $155.1M*) and beat Primary EPS (−$0.08 vs −$0.44*).
Values retrieved from S&P Global
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 delivered high-quality beats and margin expansion despite category softness; operational efficiencies in logistics are durable offsets to promo pressure .
- FY2026 guide is prudent, excludes new tariff impacts; multiple mitigation levers and high gross margins position LOVE to pass through modest price increases without derailing demand .
- Product engine is accelerating: Reclining Seat demonstrates strong attachments and repeat purchase behavior; EverCouch and future platforms broaden TAM and support multiyear growth .
- CRM/omnichannel investments (MyHub, performance comp, Costco roadshows) are improving conversion; targeted offers after compressed holiday season boosted closes .
- Balance sheet flexibility (net cash, inventory buffer, undrawn revolver) enables opportunistic buybacks and growth investments while managing tariffs .
- Near-term: watch conversion cadence and financing offer tweaks; Q1 FY2026 guide implies seasonally weak quarter with planned EBITDA loss but healthy gross margins .
- Medium-term: estimate revisions likely move up modestly on Q4 beats; monitor tariff developments and pricing actions across peers (MSRP up 5–10%) .
Additional Relevant Q4 Materials
- Q4 press release (Item 2.02 furnished in 8-K) with detailed financials and FY2026 outlook .
- Q4 call transcript with sourcing mix, guidance detail, and marketing campaign metrics .
- Marketing leadership appointment press release (Heidi Cooley) .
- Recliner campaign press release (“Recline of Civilization”) .